We apply flexible scientific methodologies grounded in the principle of pluralities, as reflected in the following domains:

Multiple Options

In designing our proposed solutions, we aim to adopt a more prudent and strategic approach to managing risks and crises in the Middle East.

Accordingly, we emphasize the necessity of offering multiple solution pathways, rather than limiting our role to merely monitoring risks and crises.

Multiple Processes

The foundation of our methodology rests upon two core processes:

Proactive Process: Identifying and monitoring risks and issuing early warnings before they escalate into crises.
Reactive Process: Addressing risks after they evolve into crises through a multi-instrument and adaptive response framework.

Multiple Tools

To design viable and implementable political solutions, we advocate the development of a joint inter-agency regional strategy formulated by relevant regional actors. To achieve this, we employ a multi-tool methodological framework that includes:

Extensive expertise in Middle Eastern politics and history.
Recognition of the region’s cultural particularities.
Consideration of structural diversity among Middle Eastern states.
Policy analysis through a three-level approach (international, regional, and domestic).
Temporal policy analysis incorporating both historical and forward-looking perspectives.
Use of quantitative and statistical instruments.
Application of the comparative method.
Integrative analysis linking multiple crises and risks to expand systemic understanding.
Development of multiple scenarios accompanied by diversified solution sets.

Multiple Risks

We take into account the following long-term risks, which tend to recur in volatile and often chaotic patterns, generating severe disruptions:

Political and religious ideologies.
Insurgency movements.
Secessionist movements.
Domestic and transnational terrorism.
Local and transnational militias.
Fragile and failed states.
Corruption and administrative mismanagement.
Domestic and global economic crises.
Climate change.
External interventions.
Foreign occupations.

Multiple Contexts and Theories

Our approach to the study of international relations is grounded in multi-level contextual analysis encompassing domestic, regional, and international environments, supported by a broad spectrum of theoretical perspectives.

While we tend to privilege Realist theory due to its enduring relevance and analytical strength in international relations, we underscore the necessity of integrating complementary perspectives, particularly Liberal theory and the English School.